OPINION OCTOBER 2025

 



Malaysia's Budget 2026: The "No-Frills Reform" Edition
Malaysia's Budget 2026, the first under the 13th Malaysia Plan (13MP), is a clear demonstration that the government is focusing on long-term structural reform rather than short-term populism. While it might lack the immediate "wow" factor of mega-project announcements, its true merit lies in its strategic, foundational shift towards a more sustainable, high-value, and fiscally disciplined economy.

Key Strengths: Strategic Investments and Fiscal Discipline
The budget receives positive marks in several key areas that signal a mature policy direction:

1. Future-Proofing the Economy through Technology and ESG
The budget makes significant allocations to high-growth, high-value (HGHV) sectors, notably:

Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Digital: The government is committing funds, including a RM2 billion investment by MCMC for a Sovereign AI Cloud and new tax deductions for SMEs engaging in AI and cybersecurity training. This move is crucial for upskilling the workforce and increasing national competitiveness.

Energy Transition and Sustainability (ESG): The planned introduction of a carbon tax in 2026 for high-emitting sectors (like iron, steel, and energy) and investments by Government-Linked Investment Companies (GLICs) and Government-Linked Companies (GLCs) to accelerate the energy transition are bold steps towards net-zero ambitions.

2. Sharpening the Tax Base and Promoting Governance
The focus here is less on new broad taxes and more on plugging leakages and improving compliance:

Targeted Tax Reforms: The introduction of an Outcome-Based Incentive Framework links corporate tax breaks to tangible results, like job creation and regional development, ensuring incentives are working for the country's long-term goals.

Higher Stamp Duty for Foreign Property Buyers: Increasing the stamp duty on residential property transfers for non-citizens and foreign companies from 4% to 8% aims to curb speculative activity and prioritize local homeownership.

3. Boosting Social Protection and Addressing Cost of Living
While subsidy rationalization (like the push for targeted fuel subsidies) can be painful, the budget attempts to cushion the blow for the vulnerable:

Targeted Aid: The increased allocation for the Sumbangan Tunai Rahmah (STR) and Sumbangan Asas Rahmah (SARA) cash aid schemes is a direct effort to improve the living standards of the rakyat (people) in the low-income bracket.

Support for Gig Workers: Measures to expand EPF and SOCSO coverage for gig economy workers acknowledge the evolving employment landscape and provide a safety net for non-traditional employees.

Potential Critiques: Where the Budget Falls Short
However, the budget's strategic approach leaves it open to several criticisms, which may explain your feeling of disappointment:

1. Lack of Short-Term Economic Stimulus
The feeling that "not much is happening" might stem from the deliberate absence of massive stimulus spending or new mega-infrastructure projects (like new updates on the MRT3 or Johor ART). While fiscal prudence is necessary to narrow the deficit (targeting 3.5% of GDP), the cautious development expenditure may not provide the immediate injection of economic activity that some sectors were hoping for.

2. Implementation Challenges for Key Reforms
Budget success hinges on execution. Introducing a carbon tax, implementing the Outcome-Based Incentive Framework, and effectively rolling out the e-Invoice system are complex reforms that require robust infrastructure and clear guidelines. If the implementation is slow or flawed, the intended benefits will not materialize.

3. Targeted Aid May Still Fall Short
While cash aid is expanded, the rising cost of living remains a primary concern for the average Malaysian. The effectiveness of targeted subsidies depends on accurate data and efficient delivery to truly offset inflation for the bottom and middle income groups. Many middle-income earners may feel they are still shouldering a disproportionate burden of rationalized costs without sufficient corresponding tax relief or benefits.

Final Verdict: A Foundation for the Future 
Budget 2026 is essentially a foundation-building budget. It signals a government committed to its long-term Ekonomi MADANI vision by sacrificing short-term popularity for greater fiscal resilience and strategic investment in the future (AI, Green Energy).

For those seeking immediate relief or groundbreaking infrastructure, it disappoints. For those looking for fiscal responsibility and a serious push towards a high-income, sustainable, and better-governed nation, the framework laid out is solid—provided the government can overcome the inevitable implementation hurdles of such significant reforms.



TESSA 11 October 2025
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