Current oil prices will hurt Malaysia’s economic growth even as consumers stay unscathed — RAM Ratings
KUALA LUMPUR (Sept 14): Current elevated oil prices will hurt Malaysia’s economic growth even as consumers are spared the brunt of the shock, a rating agency cautioned on Monday.
If global crude oil prices per barrel stay elevated at around US$100-US$120, Malaysia’s gross domestic product growth could potentially be reduced by up to 0.5 percentage-point on an annualised basis, RAM Ratings said in a statement.
While fuel subsidies help shield consumers from direct impact, “greater cost pressures may ultimately feed into broader consumer prices and potentially weigh on domestic consumption momentum”, the agency flagged.
The statement comes as oil prices jumped more than 3% amid supply concerns as conflict reignited in the Middle East and a key Saudi oil pipeline was shut. Brent, the global benchmark for crude oil, hit US$108 per barrel while West Texas Intermediate futures climbed to US$103 a barrel.
While Malaysia is a net energy exporter, the country relies heavily on Middle East that accounted for more than two-thirds of the crude oil imports in 2025. The Strait of Hormuz, a key checkpoint through which around 20% of the global oil supply flows, remained largely closed.
Malaysian refineries, which largely depend on imported heavier sour crude oil instead of the light sweet variant that Malaysia produces as their feedstock, could see their operations constrained by any supply disruption, RAM Ratings flagged.
“While Malaysia possesses several buffers that mitigate its direct exposure to the conflict, the economy remains vulnerable to the indirect effects of sustained higher oil prices through rising production costs, inflationary pressures and weaker domestic demand,” the agency added. - theedgemalaysia, 14 September 2026